LATEST POLLING – AT 9:14 A.M. ET: One poll after another shows that the presidential race is going in one direction – toward Trump. From The Politico:
After weeks of maintaining a more focused tone on the campaign trail as his opponent has struggled to maintain her post-convention momentum, Donald Trump is locked in a statistical tie nationwide with Hillary Clinton, according to a poll released Thursday night.
In a four-way race that also includes Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Clinton leads Trump among likely voters by just a single percentage point, 41 percent to 40 percent, a margin that lies within the Fox News poll’s margin of error. Johnson polled at 8 percent and Stein at 3 percent.
In a head-to-head race that excludes Johnson and Stein, Trump pulls ahead of Clinton among registered voters, 46 percentage points to 45, the first time since January that the Manhattan billionaire has held a two-way lead over the former secretary of state in the Fox News poll.
After leading in some polls by double-digits in the wake of the nominating conventions, Clinton’s lead appears to have shrunk in recent weeks amid health concerns (she took three days off this week after being diagnosed with pneumonia) and the release of the FBI’s notes from its investigation into her personal email server.
COMMENT: No doubt about it. But no guarantees for the future either. As we've noted, the first presidential debate will take place a week from Monday. All prognostications should be suspended until that's over.
September 16, 2016
|